Government Watch

Mentioned 2× · first seen 05-jul-2026 · last seen 05-jul-2026

CFTC Event Contracts & Prediction Markets Public Interest Determinations

Current understanding

The CFTC is proposing amendments to Part 40 to specify the factors it will use when determining whether event contract derivatives (including prediction markets) are contrary to the public interest and therefore prohibited from being listed, traded, or cleared on CFTC-registered entities. The proposal would define ‘gaming’ and clarify when a contract ‘involves’ an underlying activity (such as gaming, war, terrorism, assassination, or unlawful activity) enumerated in CEA §5c©(5)©. Status: proposed rule; not yet final.

Evidence log

Open questions

Contributing findings

Executive proposed rule

Prediction Markets; Public Interest Determinations

12-jun-2026 novelty 3 per-area 3 introduces

Executive final rule

Rescission of Policy Relating to the Acceptance of Settlements in Administrative and Civil Proceedings

08-jun-2026 novelty 2 per-area 2 mentions

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